Cici McNamara
Curriculum vitae, Research
Working papers
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Pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) negotiate reimbursements to pharmacies on behalf of most US health plans. In 2023, West Virginia and Tennessee were the first states with floors on the dispensing fees PBMs pay in the commercial market. Using administrative data on US retail pharmacies and a synthetic difference-in-differences design, we find that the mandates increased independent pharmacy supply by 1.8%. The gains came from reduced exit rather than increased entry, with the exit response concentrated in rural areas. There, exit rates fell 54% and the share of ZIP codes served by an independent pharmacy rose. These results are consistent with dispensing fee floors countervailing PBM buyer power.
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Interstate occupational licensure compacts are an increasingly popular way of addressing provider shortages in mental healthcare markets. I study the effects of licensure compacts on the size and composition of the psychologist workforce. I develop an empirical model of entry for psychologists differentiated by whether they provide in-person or virtual care. Results show that the Psychologist Interjurisdictional Compact increased overall supply by 2.9 psychologists per market but decreased in-person supply by 0.59 psychologists. Fifty-three percent of this decline is attributable to increased competitive pressure from out-of-state therapists. While geographic license portability increases supply, it reduces access to in-person care.
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We show that nonlinear pricing terms in vertical contracts significantly affect medical decisions. We compare fee-for-service (FFS) versus bundled payment (BP) contracts between insurers and healthcare practices focusing on medical decisions for childbirth. We find that covering c-sections under FFS increases c-section rates by 20% relative to baseline and the marginal woman undergoing a c-section is healthier. Conversely, covering vaginal deliveries under FFS reduces c-section rates by 35%. Effects are explained mainly by differences between the two contracts in prices for marginal ancillary services. Despite large shifts in procedure choices, maternal and infant outcomes are the same under both contracts.
Publications
“Evaluating Substitutes for Federal Antitrust: The Case of COPAs” (with Seungwhan Chun, Marco Duarte, and Jason M. Lindo) International Journal of Industrial Organization, v. 109 (Dec 2026).
“The Impact of `Mother-Friendly Care’ Accreditations on Patient Choice: Evidence from Brazil” (with Felipe Rocha Campos) Southern Economic Journal, 1-10 (Jun 2026).
“Medical Residency Subsidies and Physician Shortages” (with Mayra-Pineda Torres) Journal of Public Economics, v. 251 (Nov 2025).
“Continuity of Prescription Medication Use Among Adults Leaving State Prison” (with Marguerite Burns, Laura Dague, Kevin Look, and Ryan Westergaard) JAMA Network Open, v. 8 n. 2 (Feb 2025).
“Impact of Federal Funding for Graduate Medical Education on Residency Program Size: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act” (with Tehreem Hussain), PLOS One, v. 20 n. 2 (Feb 2025).
“Prompt Access to Outpatient Care Post-incarceration among Adults with a History of Substance Use: Predisposing, Enabling, and Need-based Factors” (with Lars Brown, Marguerite Burns, Steven Cook, Kevin Look, Mari Palta, and Ryan Westergaard), Journal of Substance Abuse & Addiction Treatment, v. 160 (May 2024).
“The Impact of a National Formulary Expansion on Diabetics” (with Natalia Serna), Health Economics, v. 31 n. 11 (Nov 2022).
“Association Between Assistance With Medicaid Enrollment and Use of Health Care After Incarceration Among Adults With a History of Substance Use” (with Marguerite Burns, Steven Cook, Lars Brown, Laura Dague, Steve Tyska, Karla Hernandez Romero, and Ryan Westergaard), JAMA Network Open, v. 5 n. 1 (Jan 2022).